Mathew Idiculla, Research Consultant at CLPR, provides his opinion on the Karnataka Elections 2018. He argues that there was no visible anti-incumbency against Siddaramaiah government. However anti-incumbency operated against specific Congress MLA’s. This compounded with the efforts of Modi-Shah-Yedurappa could explain BJP securing highest number of seats.
Karnataka, like its southern counterparts Tamil Nadu and Kerala, is one of the states that have consistently shown an anti-incumbency trend in assembly elections for over three decades.